Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Belgrano — Barracas Central

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Model prediction for 2 November

Belgrano49%
Draw31%
Barracas Central20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Belgrano are clear favourites: 49% against 20% for the opponent, draw 31%.

1.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 34%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Belgrano are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Belgrano — Barracas Central What is xG?1.1–0.7
Belgrano not to lose80%
Barracas Central not to lose51%
No draw69%
Both teams to score: yes34%
Both teams to score: no66%
Total over 2.527%
Total under 2.573%

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  • Handicap Belgrano
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  • Barracas Central goals
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Form

Belgrano

  • 12.10away · Racing Club2:0
  • 04.10away · Talleres1:0
  • 21.09Estudiantes de Río Cuarto2:1
  • 13.09away · Sarmiento1:1
  • 05.09Huracán1:1

Barracas Central

  • 10.10Huracán2:0
  • 03.10away · Atlético Tucumán3:2
  • 22.09Independiente Rivadavia0:1
  • 15.09away · Banfield1:1
  • 08.09Argentinos Juniors0:0

Head to head

  • 20.04.2026Barracas Central — Belgrano0:0
  • 29.09.2025Barracas Central — Belgrano1:1
  • 17.03.2025Belgrano — Barracas Central1:1
  • 21.11.2024Barracas Central — Belgrano1:1
  • 07.07.2023Belgrano — Barracas Central0:2

Full record: 5 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →