Austrian Bundesliga, round 10 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
LASK — Salzburg
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
LASK are slightly stronger: 44% against 29%, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.8.
Over 2.5 goals — 63%, both teams to score — 67%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: LASK — No. 3, 16 pts; Salzburg — No. 2, 18 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
- LASK: winless in 4; Salzburg: unbeaten in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: LASK 3 wins, Salzburg 2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LASK — Salzburg What is xG? | 1.8–1.5 | |
| LASK not to lose | 71% | |
| Salzburg not to lose | 56% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 33% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 63% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 37% |
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Form
- 11.10Rapid Wien0:2
- 20.09away · Hartberg3:3
- 13.09away · Sturm Graz1:2
- 08.09away · AEK Athens0:1
- 01.09away · Wolfsberger AC3:1
- 10.10away · Grazer AK0:0
- 20.09Sturm Graz3:0
- 17.09away · Levski Sofia1:0
- 11.09away · Ried1:1
- 02.09Rapid Wien5:1
Head to head
- 10.05.2026LASK — Salzburg2:1
- 10.04.2026Salzburg — LASK2:3
- 22.02.2026LASK — Salzburg1:5
- 23.08.2025Salzburg — LASK3:0
- 23.11.2024Salzburg — LASK1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Championship round | Rapid Wien | 8 | 7 | +16 | 21 |
| 2, Championship round | Salzburg | 8 | 5 | +14 | 18 |
| 3, Championship round | LASK | 8 | 5 | +10 | 16 |
| 4, Championship round | Sturm Graz | 8 | 4 | +1 | 14 |
Austrian Bundesliga on the same day
- Sturm GrazRiedpreliminary6023161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →