Serie A, round 10 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Lazio — Cagliari
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lazio are clear favourites: 54% against 18% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Lazio are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lazio — Cagliari What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Lazio not to lose | 82% | |
| Cagliari not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lazio
- Lazio goals
- Cagliari goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Juventus1:1
- 19.09away · Udinese1:0
- 12.09away · Atalanta2:1
- 07.09Lecce1:0
- 03.09Hellas Verona1:2
Head to head
- 21.02.2026Cagliari — Lazio0:0
- 03.11.2025Lazio — Cagliari2:0
- 03.02.2025Cagliari — Lazio1:2
- 04.11.2024Lazio — Cagliari2:1
- 10.02.2024Cagliari — Lazio1:3
Table
Serie A on the same day
- ComoVeneziapreliminary731981The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FrosinoneTorinopreliminary323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.8
- LecceGenoapreliminary273340XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
- JuventusNapolipreliminary5127211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →