Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
LDU de Quito — CSD Macará
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
LDU de Quito are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings LDU de Quito are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- LDU de Quito: 3 wins in a row; CSD Macará: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 5 meetings: LDU de Quito 2 wins, CSD Macará 2, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LDU de Quito — CSD Macará What is xG? | 1.5–1.0 | |
| LDU de Quito not to lose | 76% | |
| CSD Macará not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LDU de Quito
- LDU de Quito goals
- CSD Macará goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Barcelona SC2:1
- 21.09Universidad Católica (ECU)2:1
- 17.09Palmeiras3:2
- 13.09Deportivo Cuenca1:1
- 10.09away · Palmeiras0:1
- 11.10away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:0
- 19.09away · Aucas2:1
- 13.09Emelec1:0
- 06.09away · Independiente del Valle1:3
- 02.09Manta4:3
Head to head
- 05.07.2026CSD Macará — LDU de Quito1:0
- 01.03.2026LDU de Quito — CSD Macará0:2
- 31.08.2025LDU de Quito — CSD Macará1:1
- 10.05.2025CSD Macará — LDU de Quito0:1
- 04.08.2024CSD Macará — LDU de Quito0:4
LigaPro Serie A on the same day
- Leones del NorteLibertad (ECU)preliminary373033XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.2
- EmelecGuayaquil Citypreliminary4229291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →