Ligue 1, round 7 · Friday, 16 October, MSK · Stade Marie-Marvingt
Le Mans — Toulouse
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Toulouse are slightly stronger: 43% against 29%, draw 28%.
3.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 58%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Toulouse are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Le Mans — No. 14, 6 pts; Toulouse — No. 15, 6 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Le Mans — Toulouse What is xG? | 1.4–1.6 | |
| Le Mans not to lose | 57% | |
| Toulouse not to lose | 71% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 58% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 42% |
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Form
- 10.10away · Paris Saint-Germain1:3
- 19.09Lorient2:1
- 13.09Lens2:2
- 05.09away · Nice1:1
- 30.08away · Rennes2:3
- 10.10away · Monaco2:2
- 19.09Le Havre3:2
- 12.09away · Lorient2:2
- 03.09Lille0:1
- 29.08away · Brest2:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →