Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio Bello Horizonte - Rey Pelé
Llaneros FC — América de Cali
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1:2Came true
In short
Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, América de Cali to win (40%), came true.
América de Cali are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings América de Cali are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Llaneros FC — América de Cali What is xG? | 1.1–1.3 | |
| Llaneros FC not to lose | 60% | |
| América de Cali not to lose | 70% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
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- Handicap Llaneros FC
- Llaneros FC goals
- América de Cali goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 27.09away · Cúcuta1:2
- 21.09Atlético Nacional2:0
- 13.09away · Internacional de Bogotá2:3
- 08.09Tolima1:2
- 31.08away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 24.09Águilas Doradas1:0
- 21.09away · Tolima1:1
- 15.09Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 04.09Alianza FC3:0
- 30.08away · CD Jaguares2:2
Head to head
- 26.03.2026América de Cali — Llaneros FC0:0
- 12.07.2025Llaneros FC — América de Cali0:0
- 26.01.2025América de Cali — Llaneros FC4:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Semi-final groups | América de Cali | 13 | 8 | +16 | 27 |
| 2, Semi-final groups | Deportivo Cali | 13 | 7 | +11 | 25 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
Next matches
- Once CaldasLlaneros FC10 October · Colombian Primera A5427191The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
- América de CaliIndependiente Medellín12 October · Colombian Primera A5128211The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.2.6
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 4827241The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 2:1.2.7
- 3529362The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.5
- 4529261The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →