Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Monday, 5 October, MSK · Estadio General Santander
Cúcuta — Deportivo Pereira
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4:0Came true
In short
Final score 4:0: the model's most likely outcome, Cúcuta to win (48%), came true.
Cúcuta are clear favourites: 48% against 24% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 54%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Cúcuta are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Deportivo Pereira: winless in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Cúcuta — Deportivo Pereira What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| Cúcuta not to lose | 76% | |
| Deportivo Pereira not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 54% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 46% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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- Handicap Cúcuta
- Cúcuta goals
- Deportivo Pereira goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 27.09Llaneros FC2:1
- 20.09away · Deportivo Cali0:3
- 14.09Millonarios1:2
- 06.09Deportivo Pasto2:2
- 01.09away · Tolima1:2
- 29.09Santa Fe1:2
- 27.09Internacional de Bogotá0:0
- 19.09away · Águilas Doradas2:2
- 13.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 07.09Millonarios1:1
Head to head
- 24.03.2026Deportivo Pereira — Cúcuta2:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | -10 | 9 |
Next matches
- Deportivo PereiraDeportivo Cali10 October · Colombian Primera A2729442The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.3
- Chicó FCCúcuta12 October · Colombian Primera A4130291The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 3529362The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:2.2.5
- 4529261The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.5
- 3030402The most likely outcome came true: 21:2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 1:2, exactly right.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →