Ukrainian Premier League, round 11 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: LNZ Cherkasy 32%, FC Kharkiv 34%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 1.7 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 23%, both teams to score — 32%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv What is xG? | 0.8–0.9 | |
| LNZ Cherkasy not to lose | 66% | |
| FC Kharkiv not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 32% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 68% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 23% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 77% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap LNZ Cherkasy
- LNZ Cherkasy goals
- FC Kharkiv goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Kudrivka2:1
- 20.09away · Shakhtar Donetsk0:3
- 12.09Obolon Kyiv3:1
- 06.09away · Dynamo Kyiv0:0
- 30.08Veres Rivne0:1
- 10.10away · Chornomorets Odesa2:1
- 19.09Bukovyna Chernivtsi2:0
- 05.09Obolon Kyiv5:0
- 31.08away · Zorya3:0
- 16.08Shakhtar Donetsk0:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv1:1
- 25.10.2025FC Kharkiv — LNZ Cherkasy0:1
- 08.03.2024FC Kharkiv — LNZ Cherkasy1:1
- 26.08.2023LNZ Cherkasy — FC Kharkiv0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3, Europa League or Conference League | Dynamo Kyiv | 7 | 5 | +5 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Kharkiv | 7 | 5 | +9 | 15 |
| 5 | Karpaty | 8 | 4 | +9 | 14 |
| 6 | Zorya | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 8 | 3 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Veres Rivne | 8 | 2 | -3 | 9 |
Ukrainian Premier League on the same day
- ZoryaEpitsentr Kamianets-Podilskyipreliminary4928231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.7
- KarpatyKudrivkapreliminary751781The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- FC Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyrpreliminary2130492The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.1
- KryvbasDynamo Kyivpreliminary2126542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:13.4
- Liviy BerehBukovyna Chernivtsipreliminary323533XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:01.5
- Obolon KyivShakhtar Donetskpreliminary412852The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:23.2
- Veres RivneChornomorets Odesapreliminary4831211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 34% will not happen in roughly 66 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →