Uzbekistan Super League, round 26 · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Lokomotiv Tashkent — AGMK
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lokomotiv Tashkent are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.1 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 61%, both teams to score — 63%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Lokomotiv Tashkent — No. 4, 38 pts; AGMK — No. 7, 36 pts. A gap of 2 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lokomotiv Tashkent — AGMK What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Lokomotiv Tashkent not to lose | 74% | |
| AGMK not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 63% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 37% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 61% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 39% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Lokomotiv Tashkent
- Lokomotiv Tashkent goals
- AGMK goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Sogdiana3:2
- 20.09Neftchi Fargona0:1
- 11.09Mashal Muborak3:0
- 04.09away · Navbahor Namangan1:1
- 26.08Bunyodkor Tashkent4:1
- 11.10Navbahor Namangan2:2
- 20.09away · Sogdiana2:1
- 09.09Pakhtakor Tashkent1:3
- 03.09Xorazm1:0
- 25.08away · Surkhon-20110:0
Head to head
- 27.04.2026AGMK — Lokomotiv Tashkent2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Navbahor Namangan | 23 | 13 | +18 | 45 |
| 4 | Lokomotiv Tashkent | 23 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 5 | Nasaf Qarshi | 23 | 10 | +13 | 37 |
| 6 | Buxoro | 23 | 11 | +4 | 37 |
| 7 | AGMK | 23 | 10 | +2 | 36 |
| 8 | Dinamo Samarkand | 23 | 8 | -2 | 30 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →