A-League Men (Australia), round 3 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Macarthur FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Evenly matched: Macarthur FC 36%, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 35%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Macarthur FC 1 win, Western Sydney Wanderers FC 3, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Macarthur FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| Macarthur FC not to lose | 65% | |
| Western Sydney Wanderers FC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Macarthur FC
- Macarthur FC goals
- Western Sydney Wanderers FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 24.04Wellington Phoenix4:0
- 19.04away · Adelaide United1:3
- 12.04away · Perth Glory1:3
- 02.04Newcastle Jets3:2
- 21.03away · Auckland FC2:1
- 25.04Melbourne Victory0:2
- 18.04away · Wellington Phoenix1:2
- 11.04Sydney FC0:2
- 04.04away · Melbourne City FC0:3
- 20.03Adelaide United2:4
Head to head
- 28.02.2026Macarthur FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC0:4
- 01.01.2026Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Macarthur FC0:1
- 01.11.2025Macarthur FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC1:1
- 03.05.2025Macarthur FC — Western Sydney Wanderers FC1:3
- 16.02.2025Western Sydney Wanderers FC — Macarthur FC2:1
A-League on the same day
- Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenixpreliminary5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- Melbourne City FCSydney FCpreliminary4827251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →