Swedish Allsvenskan, round 23 · Monday, 12 October, MSK · Eleda Stadion
Malmö FF — Kalmar FF
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Malmö FF to win (51%), came true.
Malmö FF are clear favourites: 51% against 22% for the opponent, draw 27%.
The model expects few goals: 2.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Malmö FF are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Malmö FF — Kalmar FF What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Malmö FF not to lose | 78% | |
| Kalmar FF not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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- Kalmar FF goals
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Form
- 20.09Häcken0:5
- 13.09away · Elfsborg0:1
- 07.09Djurgården0:1
- 29.08away · Halmstads BK0:1
- 23.08away · Västerås SK0:0
Head to head
- 20.07.2026Kalmar FF — Malmö FF2:2
- 24.08.2024Kalmar FF — Malmö FF2:2
- 24.05.2024Malmö FF — Kalmar FF5:0
- 08.10.2023Kalmar FF — Malmö FF1:0
- 01.04.2023Malmö FF — Kalmar FF1:0
Table
Next matches
- Malmö FFHäcken18 October · Allsvenskan3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- DegerforsKalmar FF19 October · Allsvenskan343135XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
Allsvenskan on the same day
- 6322141The most likely outcome came true: 14:0Final score 4:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →