South African Premiership · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mamelodi Sundowns FC are clear favourites: 72% against 8% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 38%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mamelodi Sundowns FC are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City What is xG? | 1.8–0.6 | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns FC not to lose | 92% | |
| Durban City not to lose | 28% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 38% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 62% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 43% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 57% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mamelodi Sundowns FC
- Mamelodi Sundowns FC goals
- Durban City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 13.10away · Richards Bay4:1
- 12.09away · Chippa United1:1
- 09.09Siwelele3:0
- 06.09away · Lamontville Golden Arrows2:1
- 02.09Milford FC2:0
- 13.10AmaZulu FC1:2
- 20.09away · Milford FC1:1
- 17.09away · Orlando Pirates0:2
- 01.09Stellenbosch FC0:0
- 25.08away · Kruger United2:0
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Durban City — Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:1
- 20.09.2025Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 9 | 7 | +15 | 23 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | -5 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →