South African Premiership · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Mamelodi Sundowns FC are clear favourites: 72% against 8% for the opponent, draw 20%.
2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 37%, both teams to score — 34%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Mamelodi Sundowns FC are about 1.0 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Mamelodi Sundowns FC — No. 1, 23 pts; Durban City — No. 11, 7 pts. A gap of 16 pts.
- Mamelodi Sundowns FC: unbeaten in 5; Durban City: winless in 4.
- Last 2 meetings: Mamelodi Sundowns FC 2 wins, Durban City 0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City What is xG? | 1.7–0.5 | |
| Mamelodi Sundowns FC not to lose | 92% | |
| Durban City not to lose | 28% | |
| No draw | 80% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 34% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 66% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 37% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 63% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mamelodi Sundowns FC
- Mamelodi Sundowns FC goals
- Durban City goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 13.10away · Richards Bay4:1
- 12.09away · Chippa United1:1
- 09.09Siwelele3:0
- 06.09away · Lamontville Golden Arrows2:1
- 02.09Milford FC2:0
- 13.10AmaZulu FC1:2
- 20.09away · Milford FC1:1
- 17.09away · Orlando Pirates0:2
- 01.09Stellenbosch FC0:0
- 25.08away · Kruger United2:0
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Durban City — Mamelodi Sundowns FC0:1
- 20.09.2025Mamelodi Sundowns FC — Durban City3:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Mamelodi Sundowns FC | 9 | 7 | +15 | 23 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | Orlando Pirates | 8 | 7 | +18 | 22 |
| 10 | Polokwane City | 7 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Durban City | 8 | 1 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | TS Galaxy | 8 | 1 | -5 | 6 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →