Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Mantova — Palermo
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Mantova 34%, Palermo 37%, draw 29%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 61%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Palermo are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mantova — Palermo What is xG? | 1.4–1.5 | |
| Mantova not to lose | 63% | |
| Palermo not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 61% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 39% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Mantova
- Mantova goals
- Palermo goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
- 20.09Pisa2:2
- 13.09Sampdoria2:0
- 06.09away · Cesena1:1
- 03.09away · Palermo2:5
Head to head
- 03.09.2026Palermo — Mantova5:2
- 04.03.2026Palermo — Mantova2:1
- 11.01.2026Mantova — Palermo1:1
- 16.02.2025Palermo — Mantova2:2
- 30.10.2024Mantova — Palermo0:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- 4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 37% will not happen in roughly 63 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →