Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Ascoli — Empoli
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Ascoli are clear favourites: 46% against 24% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ascoli — Empoli What is xG? | 1.5–1.1 | |
| Ascoli not to lose | 76% | |
| Empoli not to lose | 54% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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- Handicap Ascoli
- Ascoli goals
- Empoli goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 10.10away · Südtirol0:0
- 19.09Avellino3:1
- 12.09away · Padova0:1
- 05.09Benevento1:0
- 29.08Carrarese1:1
- 10.10Palermo2:4
- 20.09away · Modena1:2
- 11.09Arezzo0:1
- 05.09away · Carrarese1:0
- 30.08away · Mantova1:3
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Südtirol | 6 | 3 | +6 | 12 |
| 5, Promotion play-offs | Ascoli | 6 | 3 | +3 | 11 |
| 6, Promotion play-offs | Avellino | 6 | 3 | +4 | 10 |
| 15 | Juve Stabia | 6 | 1 | -3 | 6 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Empoli | 6 | 2 | -4 | 6 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
Serie B on the same day
- 5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 323236XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.3
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →