Botola Pro (Morocco), round 3 · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Fez Stadium
MAS Fès — Raja Casablanca
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0:0Came true
In short
Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, a draw (33%), came true.
MAS Fès are slightly stronger: 40% against 26%, draw 33%.
The model expects few goals: 1.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.2.
Over 2.5 goals — 27%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: MAS Fès — Raja Casablanca What is xG? | 1.0–0.8 | |
| MAS Fès not to lose | 74% | |
| Raja Casablanca not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 67% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 27% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 73% |
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Form
- 03.10away · Hassania Agadir2:1
- 27.09Renaissance Club Zemamra2:1
- 05.07Olympique Dcheïra2:0
- 02.07away · KACM0:0
- 28.06Union Yacoub El-Mansour2:1
- 03.10Renaissance Club Zemamra1:0
- 05.07away · Olympic Club de Safi2:0
- 02.07Hassania Agadir2:0
- 28.06away · Ittihad Tanger1:1
- 25.06away · Union Yacoub El-Mansour1:2
Head to head
- 06.05.2026MAS Fès — Raja Casablanca0:2
- 03.10.2025Raja Casablanca — MAS Fès1:1
- 28.02.2025Raja Casablanca — MAS Fès0:0
- 25.10.2024MAS Fès — Raja Casablanca0:0
- 14.02.2024Raja Casablanca — MAS Fès1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | MAS Fès | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | Union Touarga Sport | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | KACM | 3 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 | Raja Casablanca | 3 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 6 | CODM Meknès | 3 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
Next matches
- FUS RabatRaja Casablanca13 October · Botola Pro2532432The most likely outcome did not happen: 21:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 0:1.1.9
- Ittihad TangerMAS Fès14 October · Botola Pro2332452The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:11.9
Botola Pro on the same day
- 2431442The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:2.2.2
- 5825161The most likely outcome came true: 11:0Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.2.5
- 4230281The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →