Botola Pro (Morocco), round 4 · Wednesday, 14 October, MSK · Tangier Grand Stadium
Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 14 October
In short
MAS Fès are clear favourites: 45% against 23% for the opponent, draw 32%.
1.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.2).
Over 2.5 goals — 29%, both teams to score — 37%.
Why
- By the strength ratings MAS Fès are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès What is xG? | 0.7–1.1 | |
| Ittihad Tanger not to lose | 55% | |
| MAS Fès not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 37% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 63% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 29% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 71% |
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Form
- 10.10away · KACM1:2
- 02.10MAT Tetouan1:1
- 24.09away · US Amal Tiznit3:1
- 05.07CODM Meknès2:1
- 02.07away · Union Touarga Sport0:1
- 08.10Raja Casablanca0:0
- 03.10away · Hassania Agadir2:1
- 27.09Renaissance Club Zemamra2:1
- 05.07Olympique Dcheïra2:0
- 02.07away · KACM0:0
Head to head
- 22.05.2026MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger0:1
- 25.10.2025Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès1:1
- 09.03.2025MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger1:1
- 03.11.2024Ittihad Tanger — MAS Fès1:1
- 09.03.2024MAS Fès — Ittihad Tanger2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, CAF Champions League | Hassania Agadir | 4 | 2 | +3 | 7 |
| 2, CAF Champions League | MAS Fès | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 3, CAF Confederation Cup | Union Touarga Sport | 3 | 2 | +2 | 7 |
| 6 | CODM Meknès | 3 | 1 | +3 | 4 |
| 7 | Ittihad Tanger | 3 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 8 | FAR Rabat | 2 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →