A-League Men (Australia), round 3 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Melbourne City FC — Sydney FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Melbourne City FC are clear favourites: 48% against 25% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Melbourne City FC are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 5 meetings: Melbourne City FC 3 wins, Sydney FC 0, 2 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Melbourne City FC — Sydney FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.2 | |
| Melbourne City FC not to lose | 75% | |
| Sydney FC not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Melbourne City FC
- Melbourne City FC goals
- Sydney FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 02.05away · Auckland FC1:1
- 26.04Adelaide United1:2
- 18.04away · Brisbane Roar FC3:2
- 12.04Wellington Phoenix2:0
- 07.04Central Coast Mariners2:1
- 23.05away · Auckland FC0:1
- 16.05away · Newcastle Jets1:1
- 09.05Newcastle Jets1:1
- 02.05away · Melbourne Victory1:0
- 26.04Auckland FC2:2
Head to head
- 17.03.2026Sydney FC — Melbourne City FC0:1
- 03.01.2026Melbourne City FC — Sydney FC0:0
- 03.05.2025Melbourne City FC — Sydney FC5:1
- 29.03.2025Sydney FC — Melbourne City FC2:3
- 24.02.2024Sydney FC — Melbourne City FC1:1
A-League on the same day
- Newcastle JetsWellington Phoenixpreliminary5225231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.5
- Macarthur FCWestern Sydney Wanderers FCpreliminary3628351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →