Milan — Inter
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Inter are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 3.0 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 57%, both teams to score — 62%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Inter are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Milan — Inter What is xG? | 1.3–1.8 | |
| Milan not to lose | 51% | |
| Inter not to lose | 77% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 62% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 38% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 57% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 43% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Milan
- Milan goals
- Inter goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Milan — Inter1:0
- 23.11.2025Inter — Milan0:1
- 23.04.2025Inter — Milan0:3
- 02.04.2025Milan — Inter1:1
- 02.02.2025Milan — Inter1:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- BolognaMonzapreliminary5727161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- UdineseRomapreliminary1726572The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →