Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Millonarios — CD Jaguares
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Millonarios are clear favourites: 77% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Millonarios are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Millonarios — CD Jaguares What is xG? | 2.3–0.7 | |
| Millonarios not to lose | 93% | |
| CD Jaguares not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Millonarios
- Millonarios goals
- CD Jaguares goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 09.10away · Fortaleza FC1:1
- 30.09away · Independiente Medellín2:2
- 25.09away · Atlético Nacional1:1
- 19.09Chicó FC3:0
- 14.09away · Cúcuta2:1
- 12.10Tolima3:2
- 03.10away · Águilas Doradas0:2
- 28.09Alianza FC1:2
- 23.09away · Independiente Medellín1:2
- 12.09Fortaleza FC2:2
Head to head
- 03.04.2026CD Jaguares — Millonarios1:0
- 26.09.2024Millonarios — CD Jaguares0:0
- 11.03.2024CD Jaguares — Millonarios2:1
- 14.08.2023CD Jaguares — Millonarios2:0
- 19.02.2023Millonarios — CD Jaguares2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6, Semi-final groups | Santa Fe | 12 | 6 | +7 | 22 |
| 7, Semi-final groups | Millonarios | 14 | 5 | +7 | 22 |
| 8, Semi-final groups | Tolima | 14 | 5 | +1 | 20 |
| 17 | Junior FC | 12 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →