Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Deportivo Pasto — Alianza FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Deportivo Pasto are clear favourites: 50% against 22% for the opponent, draw 28%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 41%, both teams to score — 47%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Deportivo Pasto are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- League table: Deportivo Pasto — No. 19, 9 pts; Alianza FC — No. 15, 12 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Last 5 meetings: Deportivo Pasto 1 win, Alianza FC 1, 3 draws.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Deportivo Pasto — Alianza FC What is xG? | 1.4–0.9 | |
| Deportivo Pasto not to lose | 78% | |
| Alianza FC not to lose | 50% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 47% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 53% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 41% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 59% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Deportivo Pasto
- Deportivo Pasto goals
- Alianza FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 04.10Fortaleza FC0:0
- 26.09away · Chicó FC0:3
- 20.09Once Caldas1:0
- 15.09away · América de Cali1:0
- 06.09away · Cúcuta2:2
- 10.10Águilas Doradas2:2
- 03.10away · Deportivo Cali1:3
- 28.09away · CD Jaguares2:1
- 20.09Santa Fe1:4
- 16.09away · Chicó FC2:1
Head to head
- 02.04.2026Alianza FC — Deportivo Pasto0:0
- 05.10.2025Deportivo Pasto — Alianza FC3:3
- 16.04.2025Alianza FC — Deportivo Pasto1:0
- 30.09.2024Deportivo Pasto — Alianza FC1:0
- 16.03.2024Alianza FC — Deportivo Pasto1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Chicó FC | 12 | 3 | -9 | 12 |
| 15 | Alianza FC | 13 | 3 | -12 | 12 |
| 16 | Fortaleza FC | 13 | 1 | -5 | 11 |
| 18 | CD Jaguares | 12 | 2 | -8 | 10 |
| 19 | Deportivo Pasto | 12 | 2 | -9 | 9 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 12 | 1 | -10 | 9 |
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 771571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 50% will not happen in roughly 50 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →