Serie B, round 10 · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Modena — Mantova
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Modena are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 48%, both teams to score — 53%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Modena are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Modena — Mantova What is xG? | 1.6–1.0 | |
| Modena not to lose | 77% | |
| Mantova not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 53% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 47% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 48% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 52% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Modena
- Modena goals
- Mantova goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Hellas Verona3:2
- 20.09Empoli2:1
- 12.09away · Südtirol1:1
- 06.09Avellino0:1
- 28.08away · Cremonese3:0
- 11.10away · Catanzaro3:1
- 20.09Pisa2:2
- 13.09Sampdoria2:0
- 06.09away · Cesena1:1
- 03.09away · Palermo2:5
Head to head
- 21.03.2026Modena — Mantova2:1
- 20.09.2025Mantova — Modena1:3
- 01.02.2025Modena — Mantova3:1
- 30.11.2024Mantova — Modena0:0
Table
Serie B on the same day
- CremoneseBeneventopreliminary5128211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- SüdtirolCesenapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
- CatanzaroPadovapreliminary5824181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- SampdoriaVirtus Entellapreliminary4131281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →