Uruguayan Primera Division, round 10 · Friday, 9 October, MSK
Montevideo City Torque — Danubio
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Montevideo City Torque to win (61%), came true.
Montevideo City Torque are clear favourites: 61% against 16% for the opponent, draw 23%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 50%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Montevideo City Torque are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montevideo City Torque — Danubio What is xG? | 1.8–0.8 | |
| Montevideo City Torque not to lose | 84% | |
| Danubio not to lose | 39% | |
| No draw | 77% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 50% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Montevideo City Torque
- Montevideo City Torque goals
- Danubio goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 06.10away · Nacional (URU)0:2
- 01.10Club Atletico Peñarol1:1
- 27.09Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 22.09away · Central Español4:1
- 18.09Cienciano3:0
- 04.10Cerro Largo2:1
- 28.09away · Defensor Sporting0:1
- 20.09Montevideo Wanderers1:1
- 13.09away · Juventud de las Piedras1:1
- 05.09Club Atletico Peñarol0:4
Head to head
- 25.07.2026Montevideo City Torque — Danubio1:0
- 04.04.2026Danubio — Montevideo City Torque1:1
- 28.09.2025Danubio — Montevideo City Torque2:0
- 07.06.2025Danubio — Montevideo City Torque3:2
- 31.03.2025Montevideo City Torque — Danubio1:1
Next matches
- Atlético-MGMontevideo City Torque15 October · Copa Sudamericana5526191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.4
- DanubioCentral Español18 October · Uruguayan Primera4331261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:01.9
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →