CONMEBOL Copa Sudamericana, playoff · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Arena MRV
Atlético-MG — Montevideo City Torque
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Atlético-MG are clear favourites: 55% against 19% for the opponent, draw 26%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 46%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Atlético-MG are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
- Atlético-MG: only 3 days of rest since the previous match.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Atlético-MG — Montevideo City Torque What is xG? | 1.6–0.8 | |
| Atlético-MG not to lose | 81% | |
| Montevideo City Torque not to lose | 45% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 46% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 54% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Atlético-MG
- Atlético-MG goals
- Montevideo City Torque goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Santos2:1
- 09.10away · Athletico Paranaense2:2
- 04.10RB Bragantino1:0
- 19.09Chapecoense1:1
- 17.09Santos4:2
- 09.10Danubio1:0
- 06.10away · Nacional (URU)0:2
- 01.10Club Atletico Peñarol1:1
- 27.09Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 22.09away · Central Español4:1
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 55% will not happen in roughly 45 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →