Uruguayan Primera Division, round 10 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK
Montevideo Wanderers — Boston River
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:3Missed
In short
Final score 1:3: the model's most likely outcome, Montevideo Wanderers to win (43%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 43% fails in about 57 matches out of 100 on average.
Montevideo Wanderers are slightly stronger: 43% against 28%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- Montevideo Wanderers: unbeaten in 4; Boston River: winless in 5.
- Last 5 meetings: Montevideo Wanderers 0 wins, Boston River 4, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montevideo Wanderers — Boston River What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Montevideo Wanderers not to lose | 72% | |
| Boston River not to lose | 57% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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- Handicap Montevideo Wanderers
- Montevideo Wanderers goals
- Boston River goals
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Form
- 04.10away · Cerro2:0
- 29.09Albion2:1
- 20.09away · Danubio1:1
- 12.09Nacional (URU)1:1
- 06.09away · Deportivo Maldonado0:2
- 04.10Juventud de las Piedras0:0
- 27.09away · Club Atletico Peñarol1:2
- 19.09Club Atlético Progreso1:2
- 12.09away · Racing2:3
- 07.09away · Liverpool FC0:1
Head to head
- 03.04.2026Boston River — Montevideo Wanderers4:1
- 01.11.2025Montevideo Wanderers — Boston River2:2
- 03.05.2025Boston River — Montevideo Wanderers1:0
- 06.10.2024Boston River — Montevideo Wanderers3:2
- 01.04.2024Montevideo Wanderers — Boston River0:2
Next matches
- RacingMontevideo Wanderers17 October · Uruguayan Primera5028221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.1
- Boston RiverDefensor Sporting17 October · Uruguayan Primera4529271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.3
Uruguayan Primera on the same day
- 4230281The most likely outcome did not happen: 11:1Final score 1:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.3
- 5028221The most likely outcome did not happen: 12:3Final score 2:3. Model's score: 1:0.2.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 43% will not happen in roughly 57 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →