French Ligue 2, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Montpellier — Red Star
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Montpellier are slightly stronger: 40% against 30%, draw 30%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 42%, both teams to score — 50%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Montpellier — Red Star What is xG? | 1.3–1.1 | |
| Montpellier not to lose | 70% | |
| Red Star not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 70% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 50% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 50% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 42% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 58% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Montpellier
- Montpellier goals
- Red Star goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 09.10Grenoble2:0
- 18.09away · Reims1:1
- 11.09Pau1:0
- 05.09away · Saint-Étienne1:3
- 28.08Boulogne0:0
- 10.10away · Clermont Foot3:2
- 19.09away · Guingamp3:1
- 14.09Metz1:0
- 04.09away · Laval2:1
- 29.08Reims1:4
Head to head
- 09.05.2026Red Star — Montpellier1:1
- 09.08.2025Montpellier — Red Star1:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Saint-Étienne | 8 | 6 | +13 | 19 |
| 2, Promotion | Red Star | 8 | 5 | +3 | 17 |
| 3, Promotion play-offs | Montpellier | 8 | 4 | +3 | 15 |
| 4, Promotion play-offs | Reims | 8 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
Ligue 2 on the same day
- DijonRodezpreliminary4026341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.9
- Saint-ÉtienneNantespreliminary6024161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →