French Ligue 2, round 10 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK

Dijon — Rodez

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Model prediction for 24 October

Dijon40%
Draw26%
Rodez34%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Evenly matched: Dijon 40%, Rodez 34%, draw 26%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.6.

Over 2.5 goals — 74%, both teams to score — 76%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Dijon — Rodez What is xG?2.0–1.9
Dijon not to lose66%
Rodez not to lose60%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes76%
Both teams to score: no24%
Total over 2.574%
Total under 2.526%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Dijon
  • Dijon goals
  • Rodez goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Dijon

  • 12.10Metz4:2
  • 18.09away · Annecy FC2:1
  • 11.09Laval3:2
  • 04.09away · Boulogne1:1
  • 31.08Saint-Étienne2:3

Rodez

  • 10.10away · Saint-Étienne0:2
  • 18.09Nancy3:4
  • 11.09Grenoble0:1
  • 05.09away · Metz1:4
  • 28.08Pau2:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
6Annecy FC841310–9+113
7Dijon833214–12+212
8Pau83239–8+111
14Grenoble82248–13-58
15Rodez821514–18-47
16, Relegation play-offBoulogne80624–6-26

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.4
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →