Polish Ekstraklasa, round 11 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Motor Lublin — Śląsk Wrocław
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Motor Lublin are clear favourites: 49% against 23% for the opponent, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.8).
Over 2.5 goals — 59%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: Motor Lublin — No. 14, 9 pts; Śląsk Wrocław — No. 17, 6 pts. A gap of 3 pts.
- Śląsk Wrocław: 4 defeats in a row.
- Last 2 meetings: Motor Lublin 1 win, Śląsk Wrocław 0, 1 draw.
- Days of rest before the match: Motor Lublin 5, Śląsk Wrocław 7.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Motor Lublin — Śląsk Wrocław What is xG? | 1.8–1.3 | |
| Motor Lublin not to lose | 77% | |
| Śląsk Wrocław not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 59% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 41% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Motor Lublin
- Motor Lublin goals
- Śląsk Wrocław goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Radomiak Radom3:2
- 19.09Górnik Zabrze0:0
- 11.09away · Raków Częstochowa1:2
- 05.09Legia Warszawa2:3
- 29.08Piast Gliwice0:2
- 10.10Lech Poznań1:4
- 18.09away · Wisła Kraków1:2
- 12.09Korona Kielce1:2
- 06.09away · Jagiellonia Białystok1:2
- 28.08away · Legia Warszawa1:1
Head to head
- 05.04.2025Śląsk Wrocław — Motor Lublin1:1
- 28.09.2024Motor Lublin — Śląsk Wrocław2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Widzew Łódź | 10 | 1 | -1 | 9 |
| 14 | Motor Lublin | 10 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Wieczysta Kraków | 10 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 16, Relegation | Radomiak Radom | 10 | 2 | -14 | 8 |
| 17, Relegation | Śląsk Wrocław | 10 | 1 | -7 | 6 |
| 18, Relegation | Raków Częstochowa | 10 | 1 | -12 | 3 |
Ekstraklasa on the same day
- 4429271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
- 3930321The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:02.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →