Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Atlant Stadium
Naftan — Belshina
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
4:1Came true
In short
Final score 4:1: the model's most likely outcome, Naftan to win (36%), came true.
Evenly matched: Naftan 36%, Belshina 36%, draw 27%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 60%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Naftan — Belshina What is xG? | 1.4–1.4 | |
| Naftan not to lose | 64% | |
| Belshina not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 60% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 40% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Naftan
- Naftan goals
- Belshina goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 19.09away · Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 13.09away · BATE2:2
- 06.09FC Minsk0:3
- 02.09away · Din. Minsk1:5
- 28.08away · Vitebsk0:2
- 18.09FC Minsk2:0
- 12.09away · Vitebsk1:1
- 06.09Neman2:2
- 02.09away · ML Vitebsk1:1
- 28.08away · FC Gomel0:1
Head to head
- 23.05.2026Belshina — Naftan5:1
- 30.09.2023Belshina — Naftan0:3
- 14.05.2023Naftan — Belshina0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | BATE | 23 | 4 | -10 | 21 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Belshina | 23 | 5 | -17 | 21 |
| 15, Relegation | Naftan | 24 | 4 | -31 | 17 |
| 16, Relegation | Dnepr Mogilev | 24 | 2 | -17 | 16 |
Next matches
- BelshinaSlavia Mozyr19 October · Belarusian Premier League2829432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- ZhodinoNaftan19 October · Belarusian Premier League6420161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:03.0
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 3728351The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 4027331The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
- 6421151The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 1:0.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →