Belarusian Premier League · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadion Neman
Neman — Baranovici
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3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Neman to win (64%), came true.
Neman are clear favourites: 64% against 15% for the opponent, draw 21%.
2.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 49%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neman are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Neman: unbeaten in 5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neman — Baranovici What is xG? | 1.9–0.7 | |
| Neman not to lose | 85% | |
| Baranovici not to lose | 36% | |
| No draw | 79% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 49% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Neman
- Neman goals
- Baranovici goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 19.09away · Isloch2:1
- 12.09Zhodino1:0
- 06.09away · Belshina2:2
- 29.08Slavia Mozyr1:0
- 22.08away · Naftan2:0
- 20.09FC Gomel0:2
- 12.09away · Arsenal Dzerzhinsk0:0
- 06.09Dnepr Mogilev2:1
- 29.08away · Din. Minsk1:0
- 23.08Dynamo Brest1:1
Head to head
- 24.05.2026Baranovici — Neman1:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Dynamo Brest | 24 | 13 | +16 | 43 |
| 5 | Neman | 23 | 12 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | FC Gomel | 24 | 11 | +11 | 39 |
| 10 | Slavia Mozyr | 23 | 6 | -4 | 25 |
| 11 | Baranovici | 24 | 6 | -17 | 25 |
| 12 | Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | 24 | 5 | -18 | 23 |
Next matches
- BATENeman14 October · Belarusian Premier League2526482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.3
- BaranoviciVitebsk17 October · Belarusian Premier League3026442The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:22.3
Belarusian Premier League on the same day
- 3728351The most likely outcome did not happen: 10:1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.5
- 3627361The most likely outcome came true: 14:1Final score 4:1. Model's score: 2:1.2.9
- 4027331The most likely outcome came true: 12:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 64% will not happen in roughly 36 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →