French Ligue 2, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK

Nantes — Dunkerque

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Model prediction for 17 October

Nantes44%
Draw29%
Dunkerque27%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Nantes are slightly stronger: 44% against 27%, draw 29%.

2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).

Over 2.5 goals — 43%, both teams to score — 50%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nantes — Dunkerque What is xG?1.4–1.0
Nantes not to lose73%
Dunkerque not to lose56%
No draw71%
Both teams to score: yes50%
Both teams to score: no50%
Total over 2.543%
Total under 2.557%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Nantes
  • Nantes goals
  • Dunkerque goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Nantes

  • 10.10Reims0:0
  • 19.09away · Boulogne2:1
  • 12.09away · Sochaux0:1
  • 07.09Nancy1:0
  • 29.08away · Guingamp3:3

Dunkerque

  • 09.10Annecy FC0:1
  • 18.09away · Pau0:2
  • 12.09Saint-Étienne2:1
  • 04.09Clermont Foot1:1
  • 28.08away · Nancy0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Guingamp822410–13-38
12Dunkerque822410–13-38
13Nantes82249–13-48
14Grenoble82248–13-58

Season 2026/27

Full table

Ligue 2 on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.6

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →