Serie A, round 6 · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
Napoli — Frosinone
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:0Came true
In short
Final score 3:0: the model's most likely outcome, Napoli to win (58%), came true.
Napoli are clear favourites: 58% against 17% for the opponent, draw 25%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.9 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 56%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Napoli are about 0.9 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Napoli — Frosinone What is xG? | 1.9–1.0 | |
| Napoli not to lose | 83% | |
| Frosinone not to lose | 42% | |
| No draw | 75% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 56% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 44% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Napoli
- Napoli goals
- Frosinone goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 20.09Como2:0
- 12.09away · Genoa1:1
- 06.09Venezia3:2
- 02.09away · Sassuolo1:1
- 29.08away · Fiorentina3:0
Head to head
- 14.04.2024Napoli — Frosinone2:2
- 19.12.2023Napoli — Frosinone0:4
- 19.08.2023Frosinone — Napoli1:3
- 28.04.2019Frosinone — Napoli0:2
Table
Next matches
- VillarrealNapoli13 October · Champions League4027341The most likely outcome came true: 13:1Final score 3:1. Model's score: 1:0.2.8
- FrosinoneSassuolo16 October · Serie A323137XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 2:23.2
Serie A on the same day
- 3031392The most likely outcome did not happen: 22:1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:1.2.4
- 811451The most likely outcome came true: 13:0Final score 3:0. Model's score: 3:1.3.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →