Major League Soccer (MLS), round 33 · Monday, 2 November, MSK
Nashville SC — Red Bull New York
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 2 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Nashville SC are clear favourites: 63% against 15% for the opponent, draw 22%.
3.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 68%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Nashville SC are about 0.7 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nashville SC — Red Bull New York What is xG? | 2.3–1.2 | |
| Nashville SC not to lose | 85% | |
| Red Bull New York not to lose | 37% | |
| No draw | 78% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 68% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 32% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Nashville SC
- Nashville SC goals
- Red Bull New York goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Austin FC4:1
- 27.09Toronto FC2:0
- 20.09Chicago Fire FC3:0
- 13.09away · Inter Miami CF2:2
- 10.09away · Toronto FC1:2
- 11.10San Diego FC4:1
- 01.10St. Louis City0:3
- 19.09away · New York City FC1:0
- 13.09away · Columbus Crew1:0
- 10.09away · Los Angeles FC0:2
Head to head
- 20.08.2026Red Bull New York — Nashville SC0:1
- 15.05.2025Nashville SC — Red Bull New York2:1
- 02.03.2025Red Bull New York — Nashville SC2:0
- 16.06.2024Red Bull New York — Nashville SC0:0
- 26.02.2024Nashville SC — Red Bull New York0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Nashville SC | 28 | 19 | +37 | 63 |
| 2, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | 15 | +31 | 51 |
| 17, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | LA Galaxy | 29 | 9 | -11 | 36 |
| 18, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Red Bull New York | 28 | 10 | -14 | 36 |
| 19 | New York City FC | 28 | 8 | +4 | 33 |
MLS on the same day
- Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders FCpreliminary6222161The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:03.1
- Atlanta UnitedToronto FCpreliminary4527271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- New England RevolutionInter Miami CFpreliminary3326412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:33.7
- Los Angeles FCMinnesota Unitedpreliminary5624191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.1
- Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo FCpreliminary4328291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 63% will not happen in roughly 37 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →