Liga MX (Mexico), round 14 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Necaxa — FC Juárez
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Necaxa are clear favourites: 51% against 23% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.9).
Over 2.5 goals — 62%, both teams to score — 64%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Necaxa are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Necaxa — FC Juárez What is xG? | 1.9–1.3 | |
| Necaxa not to lose | 77% | |
| FC Juárez not to lose | 49% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 64% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 36% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 62% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 38% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Necaxa
- Necaxa goals
- FC Juárez goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Pachuca3:3
- 28.09CF América2:4
- 20.09away · Atlético de San Luis1:3
- 12.09Puebla0:1
- 06.09away · Tigres1:1
- 11.10Tijuana1:1
- 28.09away · León1:2
- 19.09Tigres2:0
- 14.09away · Santos Laguna1:2
- 05.09Pachuca0:2
Head to head
- 15.02.2026FC Juárez — Necaxa1:2
- 13.09.2025Necaxa — FC Juárez1:1
- 16.04.2025FC Juárez — Necaxa2:2
- 25.08.2024Necaxa — FC Juárez3:0
- 04.02.2024FC Juárez — Necaxa2:2
Table
Liga MX on the same day
- AtlanteAtlético de San Luispreliminary4628261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →