Saudi Pro League, round 9 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Neom SC — Al-Ettifaq
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Neom SC are clear favourites: 52% against 21% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.0).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 59%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Neom SC are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neom SC — Al-Ettifaq What is xG? | 1.8–1.1 | |
| Neom SC not to lose | 79% | |
| Al-Ettifaq not to lose | 48% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 59% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 41% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Neom SC
- Neom SC goals
- Al-Ettifaq goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · Al Hazem1:1
- 13.09Al Fateh FC4:2
- 07.09away · Al Hilal2:0
- 03.09Al Khaleej3:0
- 28.08away · Al Riyadh0:1
- 10.10Al Khaleej1:1
- 11.09away · Al Qadsiah3:3
- 08.09Al-Faisaly0:0
- 04.09away · Abha1:0
- 29.08Al Diriyah0:3
Head to head
- 21.05.2026Neom SC — Al-Ettifaq1:1
- 21.01.2026Al-Ettifaq — Neom SC0:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al Ittihad | 8 | 5 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Neom SC | 8 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 | Al Ahli | 8 | 5 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 | Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 0 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | -3 | 12 |
Saudi Pro League on the same day
- 4530241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 52% will not happen in roughly 48 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →