Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
New England Revolution — Chicago Fire FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Evenly matched: New England Revolution 36%, Chicago Fire FC 36%, draw 28%.
3.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 60%, both teams to score — 65%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Chicago Fire FC are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: New England Revolution — Chicago Fire FC What is xG? | 1.6–1.5 | |
| New England Revolution not to lose | 64% | |
| Chicago Fire FC not to lose | 64% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 65% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 35% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 60% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 40% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap New England Revolution
- New England Revolution goals
- Chicago Fire FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Seattle Sounders FC0:3
- 27.09away · Real Salt Lake0:3
- 20.09Orlando City4:2
- 14.09away · Chicago Fire FC2:1
- 10.09away · New York City FC2:1
- 10.10New York City FC2:1
- 07.10Vancouver Whitecaps3:1
- 27.09away · Charlotte FC1:0
- 20.09away · Nashville SC0:3
- 14.09New England Revolution1:2
Head to head
- 14.09.2026Chicago Fire FC — New England Revolution1:2
- 19.10.2025New England Revolution — Chicago Fire FC2:2
- 07.09.2025Chicago Fire FC — New England Revolution3:2
- 21.05.2025New England Revolution — Chicago Fire FC1:3
- 05.05.2024Chicago Fire FC — New England Revolution0:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Inter Miami CF | 28 | 13 | +18 | 49 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Chicago Fire FC | 28 | 14 | +11 | 48 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | FC Dallas | 28 | 13 | +7 | 47 |
| 8, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Charlotte FC | 28 | 13 | +10 | 46 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | New England Revolution | 28 | 14 | +6 | 46 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Houston Dynamo FC | 28 | 13 | +2 | 45 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 4826261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:23.6
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →