Argentine Liga Profesional · Monday, 2 November, MSK

Newell's Old Boys — Unión

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Model prediction for 2 November

Newell's Old Boys38%
Draw32%
Unión30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Newell's Old Boys are slightly stronger: 38% against 30%, draw 32%.

2.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).

Over 2.5 goals — 35%, both teams to score — 44%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Newell's Old Boys — Unión What is xG?1.1–1.0
Newell's Old Boys not to lose70%
Unión not to lose62%
No draw68%
Both teams to score: yes44%
Both teams to score: no56%
Total over 2.535%
Total under 2.565%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Handicap Newell's Old Boys
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Form

Newell's Old Boys

  • 13.10away · Gimnasia Mendoza0:1
  • 03.10Lanús0:0
  • 20.09away · Club Atlético Platense1:0
  • 11.09Vélez Sarsfield1:1
  • 06.09away · Rosario Central1:1

Unión

  • 10.10Defensa y Justicia0:2
  • 03.10away · Boca Juniors0:3
  • 19.09Independiente1:2
  • 13.09away · Talleres1:2
  • 08.09Instituto3:2

Head to head

  • 18.04.2026Unión — Newell's Old Boys2:3
  • 01.11.2025Newell's Old Boys — Unión0:1
  • 19.04.2025Unión — Newell's Old Boys1:1
  • 02.11.2024Unión — Newell's Old Boys2:0
  • 12.06.2023Newell's Old Boys — Unión1:1

Full record: 8 meetings →

Liga Profesional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →