Danish Superliga, round 10 · Friday, 9 October, MSK · Right to Dream Park

Nordsjælland — OB

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Model prediction and result

0:0Missed
Nordsjælland59%
Draw23%
OB18%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:0: the model's most likely outcome, Nordsjælland to win (59%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 59% fails in about 41 matches out of 100 on average.

Nordsjælland are clear favourites: 59% against 18% for the opponent, draw 23%.

The model expects plenty of goals: 3.6 in total, against a competition average of 3.0.

Over 2.5 goals — 70%, both teams to score — 68%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Nordsjælland are about 0.8 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Nordsjælland — OB What is xG?2.3–1.3
Nordsjælland not to lose82%
OB not to lose41%
No draw77%
Both teams to score: yes68%
Both teams to score: no32%
Total over 2.570%
Total under 2.530%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Nordsjælland
  • Nordsjælland goals
  • OB goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Nordsjælland

  • 20.09away · Viborg1:4
  • 13.09AGF2:0
  • 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
  • 03.09away · FC København0:2
  • 30.08Brøndby IF3:1

OB

  • 19.09FC Midtjylland1:1
  • 13.09away · Randers FC2:1
  • 06.09FC København0:5
  • 30.08away · Lyngby1:1
  • 23.08away · AGF2:2

Head to head

  • 02.11.2025Nordsjælland — OB2:4
  • 31.08.2025OB — Nordsjælland1:2
  • 03.12.2023OB — Nordsjælland1:1
  • 08.10.2023Nordsjælland — OB0:1
  • 24.02.2023Nordsjælland — OB4:2

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
3, Championship roundViborg1062217–8+920
4, Championship roundNordsjælland1053214–10+418
5, Championship roundBrøndby IF1051417–17016
8, Relegation roundRanders FC1031611–16-510
9, Relegation roundOB102448–14-610
10, Relegation roundAGF1015414–17-38

Season 2026/27

Full table

Next matches

  • Heart of MidlothianNordsjælland15 October · Conference League
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
  • OBBrøndby IF18 October · Danish Superliga
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →