UEFA Conference League, round 1 · Thursday, 15 October, MSK · Tynecastle Park
Heart of Midlothian — Nordsjælland
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 15 October
In short
Evenly matched: Heart of Midlothian 40%, Nordsjælland 34%, draw 26%.
The model expects plenty of goals: 2.8 in total, against a competition average of 2.5.
Over 2.5 goals — 53%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Heart of Midlothian are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Heart of Midlothian — Nordsjælland What is xG? | 1.5–1.3 | |
| Heart of Midlothian not to lose | 66% | |
| Nordsjælland not to lose | 60% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 53% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 47% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Heart of Midlothian
- Heart of Midlothian goals
- Nordsjælland goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10St. Mirren5:0
- 19.09away · Kilmarnock1:1
- 15.09away · Falkirk1:2
- 06.09Dundee FC2:1
- 03.09away · Hibernian3:1
- 09.10OB0:0
- 20.09away · Viborg1:4
- 13.09AGF2:0
- 07.09away · FC Midtjylland2:2
- 03.09away · FC København0:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Conference League on the same day
- 5324231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.9
- 771581The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.4
- 4626281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.8
- 1319682The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.1
- 3126432The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- 2024562The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.9
- 2525502The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:32.8
- 1521642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:33.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →