Belgian Pro League, round 9 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
OH Leuven — Lommel
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
OH Leuven are clear favourites: 48% against 23% for the opponent, draw 29%.
2.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 56%, both teams to score — 58%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Facts
- League table: OH Leuven — No. 15, 5 pts; Lommel — No. 10, 11 pts. A gap of 6 pts.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: OH Leuven — Lommel What is xG? | 1.6–1.1 | |
| OH Leuven not to lose | 77% | |
| Lommel not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 58% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 42% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 56% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 44% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap OH Leuven
- OH Leuven goals
- Lommel goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Union St.Gilloise1:1
- 19.09RAAL La Louvière2:0
- 12.09Cercle Brugge1:1
- 06.09away · SK Beveren0:3
- 03.09away · Gent0:1
- 09.10away · SK Beveren3:1
- 19.09KV Mechelen0:0
- 12.09away · Union St.Gilloise0:5
- 04.09Club Brugge0:1
- 29.08away · Cercle Brugge1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Standard Liège | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Lommel | 8 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 11 | SK Beveren | 8 | 3 | -6 | 9 |
| 14 | KV Mechelen | 8 | 1 | -8 | 6 |
| 15 | OH Leuven | 8 | 1 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 | RAAL La Louvière | 8 | 1 | -10 | 4 |
Belgian Pro League on the same day
- Royal AntwerpSporting Charleroipreliminary3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.8
- RAAL La LouvièreZulte Waregempreliminary3428382The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.7
- WesterloSK Beverenpreliminary5422231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →