Egyptian Premier League, round 6 · Sunday, 11 October, MSK · Suez Canal Stadium
Olympic El Qanah FC — Al Masry SC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
In short
Final score 1:1: the model's most likely outcome, Al Masry SC to win (42%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 42% fails in about 58 matches out of 100 on average.
Al Masry SC are slightly stronger: 42% against 27%, draw 31%.
2.4 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.1).
Over 2.5 goals — 44%, both teams to score — 51%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Al Masry SC are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olympic El Qanah FC — Al Masry SC What is xG? | 1.0–1.4 | |
| Olympic El Qanah FC not to lose | 58% | |
| Al Masry SC not to lose | 73% | |
| No draw | 69% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 51% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 49% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 44% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 56% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Olympic El Qanah FC
- Olympic El Qanah FC goals
- Al Masry SC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 17.09away · ZED FC1:2
- 07.09Tala'ea El Gaish1:1
- 01.09away · Wadi Degla FC0:0
- 28.08El Gouna FC1:1
- 23.08away · Ceramica Cleopatra2:1
- 15.09Al Ittihad Alexandria0:2
- 07.09away · Petrojet-Suez1:2
- 31.08Pyramids FC0:1
- 27.08away · Al Mokawloon Al Arab3:2
- 22.08Smouha SC1:0
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | ZED FC | 6 | 2 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Olympic El Qanah FC | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Al Masry SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Smouha SC | 6 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
Next matches
- Al Masry SCAbo Qir Semad19 October · Egyptian Premier League5528171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.1
- Al Ahly SCOlympic El Qanah FC21 October · Egyptian Premier League · preliminary801461The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:03.4
Egyptian Premier League on the same day
- 2731422The most likely outcome came true: 20:2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.2.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →