Colombian Primera A (Liga BetPlay) · Saturday, 10 October, MSK · Estadio Palogrande
Once Caldas — Llaneros FC
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
1:0Came true
In short
Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Once Caldas to win (54%), came true.
Once Caldas are clear favourites: 54% against 19% for the opponent, draw 27%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Once Caldas are about 0.4 goals per match stronger.
Facts
- Last 3 meetings: Once Caldas 1 win, Llaneros FC 1, 1 draw.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Once Caldas — Llaneros FC What is xG? | 1.6–0.9 | |
| Once Caldas not to lose | 81% | |
| Llaneros FC not to lose | 46% | |
| No draw | 73% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
183 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Once Caldas
- Once Caldas goals
- Llaneros FC goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month
Form
- 05.10away · Internacional de Bogotá1:1
- 26.09Bucaramanga1:3
- 20.09away · Deportivo Pasto0:1
- 17.09Tolima1:0
- 14.09Deportivo Cali1:2
- 05.10América de Cali1:2
- 27.09away · Cúcuta1:2
- 21.09Atlético Nacional2:0
- 13.09away · Internacional de Bogotá2:3
- 08.09Tolima1:2
Head to head
- 30.03.2026Llaneros FC — Once Caldas1:1
- 20.10.2025Llaneros FC — Once Caldas2:0
- 28.03.2025Once Caldas — Llaneros FC1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Cúcuta | 13 | 5 | -3 | 18 |
| 10 | Once Caldas | 13 | 4 | 0 | 16 |
| 11 | Águilas Doradas | 13 | 3 | -1 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros FC | 13 | 4 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogotá | 14 | 2 | -4 | 14 |
Next matches
- MillonariosOnce Caldas14 October · Colombian Primera A5825171The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.5
- Llaneros FCSanta Fe19 October · Colombian Primera A3030402The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.4
Colombian Primera A on the same day
- 363034XThe most likely outcome came true: X2:2Final score 2:2. Model's score: 1:1.2.5
- 2729442The most likely outcome did not happen: 20:0Final score 0:0. Model's score: 0:1.2.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →