Kazakhstan Premier League, round 29 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
Ordabasy Shymkent — Zhenis
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Ordabasy Shymkent are clear favourites: 77% against 7% for the opponent, draw 15%.
2.8 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.7).
Over 2.5 goals — 54%, both teams to score — 41%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Ordabasy Shymkent are about 1.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Ordabasy Shymkent — Zhenis What is xG? | 2.2–0.6 | |
| Ordabasy Shymkent not to lose | 93% | |
| Zhenis not to lose | 23% | |
| No draw | 85% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 59% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 54% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 46% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Ordabasy Shymkent
- Ordabasy Shymkent goals
- Zhenis goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Kaisar Kyzylorda4:1
- 17.09away · Atyrau3:0
- 12.09FC Astana1:0
- 05.09away · Okzhetpes Kokshetau1:2
- 29.08FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk3:0
- 10.10Atyrau1:2
- 18.09away · Okzhetpes Kokshetau1:3
- 12.09FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk3:1
- 09.09away · Kairat Almaty0:3
- 05.09away · Aktobe0:1
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Zhenis — Ordabasy Shymkent0:2
- 13.09.2025Ordabasy Shymkent — Zhenis2:1
- 30.05.2025Zhenis — Ordabasy Shymkent2:2
- 26.10.2024Ordabasy Shymkent — Zhenis1:2
- 23.06.2024Zhenis — Ordabasy Shymkent1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ordabasy Shymkent | 27 | 20 | +36 | 64 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty | 27 | 18 | +32 | 60 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Okzhetpes KokshetauKaspiy Aktaupreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- Zhetysu TaldykorganTobol Kostanaypreliminary2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- FC Kyzylzhar PetropavlovskUlytaupreliminary4928241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →