Kazakhstan Premier League, round 29 · Saturday, 24 October, MSK
FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Ulytau
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 24 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk are clear favourites: 49% against 24% for the opponent, draw 28%.
The model expects few goals: 2.2 in total, against a competition average of 2.7.
Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 44%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Ulytau What is xG? | 1.3–0.9 | |
| FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk not to lose | 76% | |
| Ulytau not to lose | 51% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 44% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 56% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 38% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk
- FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk goals
- Ulytau goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
Form
- 10.10away · Irtysh Pavlodar2:0
- 18.09Kaisar Kyzylorda1:1
- 12.09away · Zhenis1:3
- 05.09Atyrau0:1
- 29.08away · Ordabasy Shymkent0:3
- 11.10Okzhetpes Kokshetau2:0
- 18.09away · Aktobe2:2
- 13.09FC Altai Oskemen0:3
- 06.09away · Tobol Kostanay1:3
- 29.08Zhetysu Taldykorgan3:0
Head to head
- 16.03.2026Ulytau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:0
- 09.08.2025Ulytau — FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk1:1
- 10.05.2025FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk — Ulytau2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Tobol Kostanay | 27 | 11 | -1 | 37 |
| 8 | Ulytau | 27 | 9 | -6 | 35 |
| 9 | Zhenis | 27 | 8 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Kaspiy Aktau | 27 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 11 | FC Kyzylzhar Petropavlovsk | 27 | 7 | -9 | 28 |
| 12 | Atyrau | 26 | 5 | -9 | 26 |
Kazakhstan Premier League on the same day
- Okzhetpes KokshetauKaspiy Aktaupreliminary5524211The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 3:13.0
- Zhetysu TaldykorganTobol Kostanaypreliminary2527482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5
- Ordabasy ShymkentZhenispreliminary771571The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →