Ecuadorian LigaPro Serie A, playoff · Sunday, 1 November, MSK

Orense — Técnico Universitario

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Model prediction for 1 November

Orense54%
Draw26%
Técnico Universitario20%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Orense are clear favourites: 54% against 20% for the opponent, draw 26%.

2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.4).

Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 49%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Orense are about 0.5 goals per match stronger.

Facts

  • Last 5 meetings: Orense 2 wins, Técnico Universitario 2, 1 draw.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Orense — Técnico Universitario What is xG?1.6–0.9
Orense not to lose80%
Técnico Universitario not to lose46%
No draw74%
Both teams to score: yes49%
Both teams to score: no51%
Total over 2.545%
Total under 2.555%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Handicap Orense
  • Orense goals
  • Técnico Universitario goals
  • Corners and cards
  • Full score grid
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Form

Orense

  • 11.10Deportivo Cuenca0:0
  • 21.09away · Manta1:2
  • 15.09away · Universidad Católica (ECU)1:2
  • 08.09Guayaquil City4:3
  • 04.09away · Leones del Norte0:1

Técnico Universitario

  • 10.10away · Manta0:1
  • 20.09Delfín1:1
  • 13.09away · Leones del Norte1:0
  • 05.09LDU de Quito1:3
  • 02.09away · Delfín0:1

Head to head

  • 07.07.2026Orense — Técnico Universitario1:2
  • 28.02.2026Técnico Universitario — Orense1:1
  • 08.07.2025Técnico Universitario — Orense1:2
  • 11.03.2025Orense — Técnico Universitario2:1
  • 10.11.2024Orense — Técnico Universitario0:2

Full record: 8 meetings →

LigaPro Serie A on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 54% will not happen in roughly 46 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →