Major League Soccer (MLS), round 30 · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Orlando City — DC United
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Orlando City are clear favourites: 48% against 26% for the opponent, draw 26%.
3.6 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (3.3).
Over 2.5 goals — 69%, both teams to score — 71%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Orlando City are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orlando City — DC United What is xG? | 2.0–1.5 | |
| Orlando City not to lose | 74% | |
| DC United not to lose | 52% | |
| No draw | 74% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 71% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 29% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 69% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 31% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Orlando City
- Orlando City goals
- DC United goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Columbus Crew3:2
- 27.09away · Philadelphia Union2:4
- 20.09away · New England Revolution2:4
- 17.09away · Columbus Crew1:2
- 13.09Toronto FC3:0
- 11.10away · Inter Miami CF0:4
- 27.09away · Vancouver Whitecaps3:3
- 20.09Charlotte FC1:2
- 13.09Atlanta United0:0
- 10.09Columbus Crew2:1
Head to head
- 26.04.2026DC United — Orlando City3:2
- 14.09.2025DC United — Orlando City1:1
- 23.03.2025Orlando City — DC United4:1
- 07.07.2024Orlando City — DC United5:0
- 14.04.2024DC United — Orlando City2:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | Colorado Rapids | 28 | 11 | 0 | 37 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 7 in each conference | Orlando City | 28 | 11 | -15 | 37 |
| 16, Wild-card game, 8th v 9th, for a playoff place | FC Cincinnati | 27 | 9 | -7 | 36 |
| 25 | Minnesota United | 28 | 7 | -9 | 30 |
| 26 | DC United | 27 | 6 | -12 | 30 |
| 27 | Columbus Crew | 28 | 8 | -5 | 29 |
MLS on the same day
- 2625482The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.5
- 3628361The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 363034XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.7
- 4926251The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.1
- 1524612The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.3
- 4029311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.5
- 3128412The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 1:23.2
- 3927341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.6
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →