Serie B, round 7 · Saturday, 17 October, MSK
Padova — Virtus Entella
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 17 October
In short
Evenly matched: Padova 32%, Virtus Entella 36%, draw 32%.
2.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 39%, both teams to score — 49%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Virtus Entella are about 0.3 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Padova — Virtus Entella What is xG? | 1.1–1.2 | |
| Padova not to lose | 64% | |
| Virtus Entella not to lose | 68% | |
| No draw | 68% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 49% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 51% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 39% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Padova
- Padova goals
- Virtus Entella goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Carrarese0:2
- 19.09away · Palermo1:2
- 12.09Ascoli1:0
- 06.09away · Cremonese1:3
- 29.08Hellas Verona1:1
- 10.10Juve Stabia1:1
- 19.09away · Cremonese0:0
- 11.09away · Pisa4:1
- 06.09LR Vicenza2:2
- 29.08Cesena1:2
Head to head
- 25.04.2026Virtus Entella — Padova1:0
- 21.09.2025Padova — Virtus Entella2:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Cesena | 6 | 1 | -1 | 7 |
| 11 | Padova | 6 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 6 | 2 | -7 | 7 |
| 13 | Virtus Entella | 6 | 1 | +1 | 6 |
| 14 | Cremonese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 6 |
Serie B on the same day
- 4629241The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.6
- 5326201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 1:02.7
- 333037XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 1:12.4
- 3429372The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:12.9
- 5027231The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:12.8
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 36% will not happen in roughly 64 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →