Serie B, round 8 · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Palermo — Carrarese
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Palermo are clear favourites: 60% against 16% for the opponent, draw 24%.
2.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.6).
Over 2.5 goals — 55%, both teams to score — 55%.
Why
- By the strength ratings Palermo are about 0.6 goals per match stronger.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Palermo — Carrarese What is xG? | 1.9–0.9 | |
| Palermo not to lose | 84% | |
| Carrarese not to lose | 40% | |
| No draw | 76% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 45% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 55% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 45% |
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- Handicap Palermo
- Palermo goals
- Carrarese goals
- Corners and cards
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Form
- 11.10away · Padova2:0
- 19.09Benevento0:1
- 12.09away · Catanzaro0:1
- 05.09Empoli0:1
- 29.08away · Ascoli1:1
Head to head
- 08.03.2026Carrarese — Palermo0:1
- 29.11.2025Palermo — Carrarese5:0
- 13.05.2025Palermo — Carrarese1:1
- 07.12.2024Carrarese — Palermo1:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Promotion | Palermo | 6 | 5 | +7 | 16 |
| 2, Promotion | Mantova | 6 | 4 | +7 | 14 |
| 17, Relegation play-off | LR Vicenza | 6 | 1 | -6 | 5 |
| 18, Relegation | Carrarese | 6 | 1 | -2 | 4 |
| 19, Relegation | Sampdoria | 6 | 1 | -7 | 4 |
Serie B on the same day
- Hellas VeronaPisapreliminary3827351The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:13.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →