Serie A, round 7 · Monday, 19 October, MSK

Parma — Torino

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Model prediction for 19 October

Parma29%
Draw33%
Torino38%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Torino are slightly stronger: 38% against 29%, draw 33%.

2.2 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).

Over 2.5 goals — 38%, both teams to score — 48%.

Why

  • By the strength ratings Torino are about 0.2 goals per match stronger.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Parma — Torino What is xG?1.0–1.2
Parma not to lose62%
Torino not to lose71%
No draw67%
Both teams to score: yes48%
Both teams to score: no52%
Total over 2.538%
Total under 2.562%

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  • Handicap Parma
  • Parma goals
  • Torino goals
  • Corners and cards
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Form

Parma

  • 10.10away · Inter0:3
  • 20.09Genoa2:1
  • 14.09away · Como1:2
  • 06.09Monza1:1
  • 01.09Cremonese0:2

Torino

  • 12.10Udinese2:1
  • 19.09away · Bologna1:1
  • 14.09Roma0:2
  • 05.09away · Fiorentina2:1
  • 01.09Monza0:1

Head to head

  • 13.03.2026Torino — Parma4:1
  • 29.09.2025Parma — Torino2:1
  • 08.03.2025Parma — Torino2:2
  • 05.01.2025Torino — Parma0:0
  • 03.05.2021Torino — Parma1:0

Full record: 10 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWDLGoals+/−Pts
11Sassuolo622210–1008
12Torino62137–9-27
13Lecce62046–12-66
17Genoa61145–11-64
18, RelegationParma61144–10-64
19, RelegationFiorentina61147–14-74

Season 2026/27

Full table

Serie A on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: 0:22.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →