Serie A, round 7 · Monday, 19 October, MSK
Monza — Cagliari
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 19 October
In short
Evenly matched: Monza 34%, Cagliari 38%, draw 28%.
2.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (2.5).
Over 2.5 goals — 45%, both teams to score — 52%.
Why
- By the strength ratings the teams are almost level.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Monza — Cagliari What is xG? | 1.2–1.3 | |
| Monza not to lose | 62% | |
| Cagliari not to lose | 66% | |
| No draw | 72% | |
| Both teams to score: yes | 52% | |
| Both teams to score: no | 48% | |
| Total over 2.5 | 45% | |
| Total under 2.5 | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, corners and cards, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Handicap Monza
- Monza goals
- Cagliari goals
- Corners and cards
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Lazio1:3
- 18.09Sassuolo2:1
- 13.09away · Lecce2:3
- 06.09away · Parma1:1
- 01.09away · Torino1:0
- 11.10Juventus1:1
- 19.09away · Udinese1:0
- 12.09away · Atalanta2:1
- 07.09Lecce1:0
- 03.09Hellas Verona1:2
Head to head
- 30.03.2025Cagliari — Monza3:0
- 05.01.2025Monza — Cagliari1:2
- 16.03.2024Monza — Cagliari1:0
- 26.11.2023Cagliari — Monza1:1
Table
Serie A on the same day
- 293338XThe model's most likely outcome: XModel's score: 0:02.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 38% will not happen in roughly 62 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →